抄録

PeriodontitisChronic bacterial infection and inflammation of the gums and supporting tooth structures; the bacteria can enter the bloodstream and raise systemic CRP levels, making it an underrecognized driver of cardiovascular inflammatory risk. is consistently associated with atherosclerotic 心血管疾患心血管疾患とは、心臓発作、脳卒中、下肢の動脈閉塞など、心臓や血管に関する問題の総称です。. (ASCVD) across large 前向きコホート前向きコホート研究は、健康な人々を登録し、その特徴を記録し、その後何が起こるかを待って観察する。., with pooled 相対リスク相対リスクは2つのグループを比較するもので、このグループの心臓発作の発生率は、あのグループよりも30パーセント低かった。. converging on 1.14 to 1.26 for 冠動脈疾患冠状動脈疾患は、アスケロスクレロティック・プラーク（動脈硬化性プラーク）の蓄積によって心筋に血液を供給する動脈が狭窄または閉塞する疾患であり、世界中で心筋梗塞および心臓死の主要な原因となっています。., 心筋梗塞詳しい項目については心臓発作をご覧ください。., 、および 脳卒中脳卒中は、脳の一部への血流が詰まりまたは出血によって止まるときに起こります。. across independent meta-analyses. The association survives multivariable adjustment, shows 用量反応A dose-response relationship means more of something produces more of an effect, in a consistent gradient. with disease severity and tooth loss, and is supported by coherent mechanisms: transient bacteremiaA brief episode in which bacteria enter the bloodstream, typically during dental procedures, chewing, or brushing; in the context of periodontitis, bacteria from infected gum pockets can enter the circulation and potentially interact with the vascular wall or heart valves., systemic inflammatory signalling, 内皮機能障害血管内皮機能障害とは、その薄い内側の裏打ちが十分に機能しなくなる状態です。血管が適切に拡張せず、バリア機能がより漏れやすくなります。., and immune cross-reactivity. Randomised trials demonstrate that periodontal therapy reduces C反応性タンパク質C反応性タンパク（CRP）は、体内のどこかで炎症が起きているときに肝臓が産生する物質です。この検査の高感度バージョンであるhs-CRPは、心疾患のリスクを評価するために使用されます。. and, in two independent trials at 12 and 24 months, slows carotid intima-media thickening by effects of the same order, approximately 0.02–0.03 mm.

None of this establishes 因果関係Causation means one thing actually makes another thing happen. It is different from correlation, which only means two things tend to show up together.. Mendelian randomisation using genetic instruments for periodontitis finds no effect on 冠動脈疾患冠状動脈疾患は、心筋に栄養を送る動脈にプラークが蓄積する病気です。., stroke, or 無症候性動脈硬化症Subclinical atherosclerosis means plaque is present but has not yet caused any symptoms or events.. The observational literature carries high heterogeneity, predominantly critical risk of bias, and demonstrable 出版バイアスPublication bias is the tendency for studies with striking positive results to get published while studies finding nothing quietly disappear.. The detection of periodontal pathogen DNA in 粉瘤Atheroma is another word for the fatty deposit inside an artery wall — essentially a synonym for plaque, used more often in research writing. is contradicted by well-conducted negative studies. One randomised trial with cardiovascular endpoints — PREMIERS, in 280 post-stroke patients — produced a ハザード比ハザード比は、2つのグループでイベントが起こる速さを比較するものです。比率が0.75の場合、治療群でのイベント発生率が4分の一減少し、対照群の4分の3であったことを意味します。. of 0.65 (95% CI 0.30–1.38): directionally favourable, statistically inconclusive, and prespecified as non-superior.

This review separates what is known from what is assumed, places periodontal 炎症炎症は、怪我や侵入物とみなしたものに対する免疫システムの反応です。これにより腫れや熱、そして浄化細胞がもたらされます。. within the apoB-centred model of アテローム発生アテローム性動脈硬化形成は、プラークが形成される段階的なプロセスです。., and assigns explicit confidence scores to the two propositions that matter.

1. Defining the oral diseases

Precision here is not pedantry. Most of the confusion in the popular literature comes from treating “gum disease” as a single entity.

Dental 歯垢プラークとは、動脈の壁の内側にコレステロール、免疫細胞、瘢痕組織、カルシウムが蓄積したものです。. is a structured microbial biofilm on the tooth surface. It is not food debris and it is not removed by rinsing. Left undisturbed, it matures and shifts toward a dysbiotic, anaerobe-rich community.

Calculus (tartar) is plaque mineralised by salivary calcium and phosphate. It cannot be removed by brushing and provides a retentive surface for further biofilm accumulation. Calculus is a plaque-retentive factor, not itself the microbial cause of gingival inflammation — a distinction worth preserving.

Gingivitis is reversible inflammation confined to the marginal gingiva, initiated by dental biofilm. Clinical signs are erythema, oedema, and bleeding on probing. No connective tissue attachment has been lost and no bone has been resorbed. In the current classification framework, bleeding on probing at ≥10% of sites defines gingivitis on an intact periodontium, with 10–30% localised and >30% generalised [60]. Gingivitis resolves with adequate biofilm control and is highly prevalent. It does not create new periodontitis-related attachment or bone loss, and it can occur either on an intact periodontium or on one previously reduced but stable after treatment.

The causal relationship between biofilm and gingivitis was established experimentally rather than inferred. Löe, Theilade and Jensen withdrew oral hygiene in healthy volunteers, observed plaque accumulation and gingival inflammation develop, then reinstituted hygiene and observed resolution [33]. This within-subject withdrawal-and-reinstitution design is as close to an experimental demonstration of causation as oral disease research offers, and it is the reason biofilm is described as a cause rather than an association. Note precisely what it establishes: plaque causes gingivitis. It does not by itself establish that plaque causes periodontitis, which requires host susceptibility and time in addition to biofilm.

Periodontitis is a destructive inflammatory disease that can develop in susceptible individuals. The inflammatory infiltrate extends apically, the junctional epithelium migrates, and connective tissue attachment and alveolar bone are lost. The 2018 classification defines a case by interdental clinical attachment loss at two or more non-adjacent teeth, or alternatively by buccal/oral attachment loss of ≥3 mm with pocketing >3 mm at two or more teeth, in each case after excluding non-periodontal causes such as recession, caries, and root fracture. It stages periodontitis by severity and complexity (I–IV) and gradesGRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations) is a widely used framework for rating the certainty of evidence behind a clinical finding, classifying it as high, moderate, low, or very low based on factors such as study design, risk of bias, consistency, directness, and precision of results. it by rate of progression and 危険因子危険因子とは、高コレステロール粒子、高血圧、喫煙、糖尿病、家族歴など、病気にかかる可能性を高めるものです。. (A–C), with 喫煙喫煙は血管の内壁を傷つけ、血圧を上げ、血液を凝固しやすくし、プラークの成長を早めます。. and glycaemic control explicitly incorporated as grade modifiers [59].

Periodontal pockets are the pathologically deepened sulci created by attachment loss. They are the anatomical feature of greatest systemic interest: inflamed, frequently ulcerated pocket epithelium overlies a richly vascularised connective tissue bed, an interface across which bacteria and bacterial products can enter the circulation.

Clinical attachment loss (CAL)The standard clinical measure of cumulative periodontal destruction, quantifying how far the attachment between gum tissue and tooth has receded from its normal position; it is the reference metric for diagnosing and staging periodontitis. is the reference measure of cumulative destruction. Alveolar bone loss is its radiographic correlate.

Bleeding on probing (BOP)A clinical sign assessed by gently probing the gum pocket; bleeding indicates active gingival inflammation, and its consistent absence at a site generally signals periodontal stability — though smoking can suppress bleeding and mask disease. indicates active inflammation. It is the standard clinical sign of gingival inflammation, and repeated absence of bleeding at a site is generally reassuring. An important exception: smoking suppresses gingival bleeding through vasoconstriction and altered immune response, so absence of visible bleeding in a smoker does not indicate periodontal health.

Tooth loss is a downstream marker of advanced disease, but a contaminated one. Teeth are lost to caries, trauma, and access-driven extraction decisions as well as to periodontitis. Cohorts that use tooth count as a periodontitis proxy are measuring something broader than periodontal destruction, and this weakens a substantial fraction of the epidemiological literature.

Why periodontitis dominates the cardiovascular literature. Three reasons. Gingivitis is highly prevalent, which limits its discriminative value in a コホート研究A cohort study follows a large group of people over time, recording what they eat or do and what happens to their health years later.. Gingivitis produces a small ulcerated surface area, so the plausible systemic inflammatory load is low. And gingivitis is transient and fluctuating, so it does not represent the sustained decades-long exposure that atherogenesis would require. Not everyone with gingivitis progresses; progression requires the interaction of dysbiotic biofilm, host susceptibility, dysregulated immune response, environmental exposure, and time.

2. Causes and risk factors for periodontal disease

Distinguishing causes from associations is essential, because the 交絡Confounding is when a hidden third factor makes two unrelated things look connected. structure of the cardiovascular question depends entirely on it.

因数分解する	Role	Strength and interpretation
Dysbiotic dental biofilm	Initiating cause of plaque-induced gingivitis; necessary component of periodontitis pathogenesis	Causal. Experimental withdrawal/reinstitution evidence [33]; necessary but not sufficient
Inadequate plaque control	Increases biofilm accumulation and maturation	Causal exposure. Directly modifiable; improvement reverses gingivitis
喫煙	Strong risk and progression modifier; impairs neutrophil function, reduces gingival blood flow, worsens treatment response, masks bleeding	Causal. Dose-related; incorporated into periodontal grading. Also a strong independent cause of ASCVD — the central 交絡因子A confounder is a variable that is associated with both the exposure being studied (such as TMAO) and the outcome (such as heart disease), making it appear as though one causes the other when a third factor is actually responsible. The article lists renal function, insulin resistance, systemic inflammation, and age as major confounders that inflate the apparent cardiovascular risk of high TMAO in…
糖尿病糖尿病は、体が十分なインスリンを作らないか、あるいは作られたインスリンに反応しなくなることで、血糖値が常に高すぎる状態になる疾患です。. / glycaemic control	Strong susceptibility and progression modifier; bidirectional	Causal. Explicit grading modifier. Cochrane finds moderate-certainty evidence that periodontal therapy improves HbA1c
Host inflammatory response	Tissue destruction is predominantly host-mediated (MMPs, RANKL-driven osteoclast activation)	Causal mechanism. Hyper-responsive phenotypes progress faster
Age	Strong risk indicator	Mostly not an independent biological cause. Reflects 累積暴露Cumulative exposure is the total amount of harmful cholesterol particles your arteries have been soaked in across your entire life — how high, multiplied by how long., 免疫老化The age-related decline in immune system function, including reduced capacity to clear damaged cells and resolve inflammation, which allows atherosclerotic plaques to persist and enlarge rather than be kept in check., comorbidity, and lifetime opportunity for attachment loss
遺伝学Genetics is the study of what you inherit from your parents.	Modifies susceptibility	Partial. Periodontitis has a heritable component, but estimates vary widely by design and known variants explain only a minority of susceptibility. GWAS loci individually explain little variance — a limitation that becomes decisive in Section 4.6
肥満肥満とは、健康に影響を及ぼすほど過剰な体脂肪を蓄えている状態を意味します。. / metabolic dysfunction	Associated inflammatory-metabolic modifier	Probable contributor. Observational evidence substantial; some Mendelian randomisation supports causal effects of adiposity traits
Medications	Gingival enlargement (phenytoin, ciclosporin, some calcium channel blockers); xerostomia from many drug classes	Indirect. Complicates plaque control rather than causing periodontitis
Dry mouth / hyposalivation	Removes a major protective mechanism	Indirect modifier. From medication, radiotherapy, Sjögren disease, diabetes
Diet and nutrition	Refined 炭水化物炭水化物は、パン、米、パスタ、果物、ジャガイモ、お菓子などの、食べ物に含まれる糖分やデンプンです。. supports dysbiotic biofilm; severe vitamin C deficiency directly impairs gingival collagen	Weak relative to biofilm, smoking, and glycaemic control
Socioeconomic status and healthcare access	Powerful determinant of exposure and treatment	Mostly not a biological cause — a determinant of biofilm control, professional care, smoking, diet. Independently associated with ASCVD. Difficult to capture fully with conventional variables such as income and education

The confounding structure

Smoking, diabetes, obesity, age, socioeconomic position, and healthcare access each cause or strongly predict 両方 periodontitis and ASCVD. This is not incidental overlap; it is the dominant feature of the data. Any observed periodontitis–ASCVD association of the magnitude actually reported must be interpreted against a confounding structure fully capable of generating it.

3. Association with cardiovascular disease

Pooled estimates

Three independent meta-analyses using different study sets and methods converge on a narrow band of effect:

ソース	Studies / participants	成果	Pooled estimate (95% CI)
Larvin 2021 [34]	32 cohorts (30 pooled)	All CVD	RR 1.20 (1.14–1.26)
		CHD	RR 1.14 (1.08–1.21)
		脳卒中	RR 1.24 (1.12–1.38)
		MI	RR 1.12 (0.96–1.30) — not significant
		Severe periodontal disease	RR 1.25 (1.15–1.35)
Guo 2023 [5]	39 cohorts / 4,389,263	メイス	RR 1.24 (1.15–1.34)
		CHD	RR 1.20 (1.12–1.29)
		MI	RR 1.14 (1.06–1.22)
		脳卒中	RR 1.26 (1.15–1.37)
		Cardiac death	RR 1.42 (1.10–1.84)
		All-cause mortality全死因死亡とは、心疾患に限らず、あらゆる原因による死亡を意味し、研究が測定できる最も広範で、ごまかしが最も効かない結果です。.	RR 1.31 (1.07–1.61)
Janket 2003 [27]	9 cohorts	Future CVD	RR 1.19 (1.08–1.32); 1.44 (1.20–1.73) if aged ≤65

The convergence across independent analyses is genuine evidence against a purely random association. It is not evidence against shared systematic bias: these syntheses draw on overlapping primary studies, and a bias common to that literature would propagate into all of them alike.

Three qualifications that are routinely omitted and should not be. First, Larvin’s heterogeneity was I² = 97.3% — the pooled point estimate summarises studies that do not agree with one another. Second, of 32 included studies, 21 were rated at critical risk of bias by ROBINS-IA standardized tool (Risk Of Bias In Non-randomized Studies of Interventions) used in systematic reviews to rate how susceptible each observational study is to bias; in the Larvin meta-analysis, 21 of 32 included studies were rated at critical risk and the rest at serious risk, with none rated low. and the remaining 11 at serious risk; not one was rated low or moderate. Third, formal testing found significant publication bias (Egger’s β = 2.91, P = .004). A literature with critical risk of bias throughout and demonstrable publication bias, producing a pooled effect of 1.20, is not a literature from which causation can be read off.

Fourth, and separately: Larvin found no difference in CVD risk between clinically diagnosed and self-reported periodontal disease (RR 0.97, 0.87–1.07). The finding is that diagnosis method did not detectably modify the association. One reading is reassuring for the self-report cohorts. Another is less so: if a crude self-reported exposure yields the same estimate as a calibrated clinical examination, the association may be tracking something broader than periodontal destruction — general health literacy, healthcare engagement, or socioeconomic position. The meta-regression cannot distinguish these readings, and neither should be presented as established.

A 2024 統合レビューA systematic review of multiple existing meta-analyses on a topic, providing a high-level synthesis of evidence across many studies; cited in the article to summarize findings on plant-based diets and cardiovascular outcomes. の システマティックレビューシステマティックレビューは、事前に宣言された方法を用いてある問いに関するすべての研究を検索し、一貫した基準によってそれらを評価する。. concluded that the association is consistently observed but that methodological heterogeneity across primary studies precludes any causal determination [6]. A 2026 メタ分析メタアナリシスは、多数の個別研究の結果を統計的に統合して1つの全体的な推定値を算出します。. of 30 cohort studies reported HR 1.31 (95% CI 1.13–1.48) [58]; its main pooled exposure deliberately spans a broader periodontal and oral-health category rather than exclusively clinically diagnosed periodontitis, and heterogeneity was substantial, so it should be read alongside Guo and Larvin rather than pooled with them.

Individual cohorts of note

PAROKRANK is a carefully phenotyped case-control studyA case-control study starts with people who already have a disease, finds similar people who do not, and looks backward for differences. with prospective follow-up [7]. It recruited 805 patients under 75 with a first myocardial infarction and 805 controls matched for age, sex, and geographic area, all examined with standardised dental assessment including panoramic radiography, with approximately 100 candidate confounders collected. Periodontitis was independently associated with first MI. The pre-planned long-term follow-up of 1,587 participants [8] recorded the composite of all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke, and 心不全心不全とは、心臓が体の要求を満たすのに十分なほど血液を送り出せない状態を指します。心不全という名前は誤解を招きやすいですが、心臓が停止したという意味ではありません。. hospitalisation in 187 of 985 periodontally healthy participants (19%) versus 174 of 602 with periodontitis (29%; P<0.0001). The adjusted hazard ratio was 1.26 (95% CI 1.01–1.57; P=0.038). Two features temper this: the confidence interval’s信頼区間とは、ある研究の結果と統計的に整合する値の範囲のことです。. lower bound touches unity, and adjustment covered only age, smoking, and diabetes — a narrower set than the roughly 100 variables collected at baseline, which leaves more room for residual confoundingThe bias that remains in an observational study even after statistical adjustment, because some shared risk factors — such as poverty, smoking, or diabetes — cannot be fully measured or removed; with a modest relative risk like 1.20, residual confounding alone could plausibly explain the entire observed association. than the study’s design would have permitted.

スカピスSCAPIS（Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study）は、既知の冠動脈疾患を持たない50歳から64歳のスウェーデン人成人の25,000人以上を対象とした大規模な集団イメージング研究であり、冠動脈CT血管造影を用いて、参加者の42%に動脈硬化を、約5%に有意な狭窄を検出しました。. (2026) is the most recent large-scale imaging cohort [9]. Among 29,056 Swedish participants, severe periodontitis was present in 6% (n=1,809) and was associated with severe 冠動脈石灰化スコア冠動脈カルシウムスコア、またはCACスコアは、心臓の動脈にどれだけの硬化したプラークがあるかを測定する迅速なCTスキャンから得られます。造影剤も注射針も使わず、約10分で終わります。. (CACS ≥301, OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.39–2.06) and severe segment involvement score (>4 segments, OR 1.40, 1.17–1.67), with the strongest associations among individuals なし concomitant dental caries. Periodontitis was also associated with lower epicardial adipose tissue attenuation on cardiac CT (β = −0.27 HU, −0.48 to −0.05), a radiographic signature of perivascular inflammation, and with a 42% higher risk of incident coronary heart disease (HR 1.42, 1.03–1.97), partially mediated by coronary 動脈硬化動脈硬化は、ほとんど的心筋梗塞と多くの脳卒中の背景にある病気です。コレステロールの粒子が動脈の壁に入り込み、体がそれを掃除するために免疫細胞を送り込み、何年もかけてその堆積物が硬化してプラークになります。..

This is a particularly informative observational design because it integrates dental phenotype, 冠動脈画像診断冠動脈内のプラークの大きや性質を可視化するために用いられる、定量冠動脈造影や血管内超音波法などの非侵襲的または侵襲的な手法。オーニッシュやエッセルスティンの研究は、症状やイベントのデータのみに頼るのではなく、客観的な冠動脈イメージングを用いている点で特筆すべきである。., an inflammatory imaging marker, and incident CHD in one cohort, and the caries-stratified finding argues modestly against pure “poor oral health equals poor general health” confounding. The investigators themselves frame severe periodontitis as a marker of increased coronary risk; the design does not establish that periodontitis caused the imaging abnormalities or the events. The accompanying editorial reaches the same position, treating the mechanistic and causal questions as unresolved [53].

ARICARIC, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, has followed thousands of American adults since the late 1980s. examined ischaemic stroke by subtype in a clinically examined cohort [35]. Periodontal disease classes were associated with cardioembolic stroke (HR ≈ 2.6, 1.2–5.6) and thrombotic stroke (HR ≈ 2.2, 1.3–3.8) after adjustment for age, sex, race and study centre, BMI, 高血圧Hypertension is the medical term for high blood pressure., diabetes, LDLLDL（低密度リポ蛋白）は、コレステロールを血液中に運ぶ主要な粒子であり、動脈壁に詰まる主原因となるものです。., smoking status and パック・イヤーPack-years is a standardized measure of cumulative tobacco exposure calculated by multiplying the number of packs smoked per day by the number of years of smoking; the article uses it as the conceptual model for thinking about cumulative apoB exposure, noting that both metrics are imperfect summaries of lifetime exposure that carry more prognostic weight than a single current measurement., and education. Regular dental care use was associated with lower ischaemic stroke risk (HR ≈ 0.77, 0.63–0.94) — an observational association particularly vulnerable to healthy-user and healthcare-access confounding.

Established cardiovascular disease. A cohort of 1,002 patients with angiographically documented CVD followed 10 years found severe periodontitis associated with recurrent MI, stroke/TIA, or cardiovascular death, adjusted HR 1.26 (1.00–1.58) — a confidence interval whose lower bound touches unity. Brushing more than once daily (HR 0.74, 0.57–0.97) and interdental cleaning (HR 0.71, 0.52–0.99) were associated with fewer recurrences, findings vulnerable to the same healthy-user confounding [36].

末梢動脈疾患Peripheral artery disease is plaque narrowing the arteries in your legs. has a thinner literature. A nationwide matched Korean cohort reported PAD incidence of 2.40 versus 2.08 per 1,000 person-years in periodontitis versus controls, HR ≈ 1.15 (1.07–1.23) — a small absolute difference.

Mortality. Romandini and colleagues pooled 57 studies covering 48 cohorts and 5.71 million participants, reporting all-cause mortality RR 1.46 (95% CI 1.15–1.85) and cardiovascular mortality RR 1.47 (1.14–1.90) for periodontitis [37]. It is cited in the 2026 AHA statement as a principal mortality reference. Guo’s pooled estimates give cardiac death RR 1.42 (1.10–1.84) and all-cause mortality RR 1.31 (1.07–1.61) [5].

Gingivitis alone

The largest relevant dataset is a Korean national cohort of 3,779,490 individuals free of cardiovascular disease at baseline, followed a median of 10.4 years, in which 17,942 incident cardiovascular events occurred [18]:

• Tooth loss alone: stroke aHR 1.09 (1.04–1.15)
• Gingivitis plus tooth loss: stroke aHR 1.12 (1.04–1.20); CVD aHR 1.08 (1.03–1.14)
• Gingivitis alone: stroke aHR 1.05 (1.01–1.10), and only among those aged ≥50

An aHR of 1.05 restricted to one outcome in one age stratum, from claims-based exposure definition, is at the threshold of detectability and well within residual confounding. Using “gingivitis” and “periodontitis” interchangeably in cardiovascular discussion is not a simplification; it is an error.

How much could be confounding?

The pooled effect is roughly a 20% relative increase. In a population with 10% baseline ten-year ASCVD risk, that is about 2 absolute percentage points — approximately 20 excess events per 1,000 people over ten years, if the association were entirely causal.

The exposed group is enriched for current smoking, poor glycaemic control, obesity, lower income, lower educational attainment, and reduced healthcare contact. Multivariable adjustment addresses the measured portion of each. It does not address:

• Measurement error in confounders. Smoking is typically coded never/former/current. Pack-years, intensity, and time since quitting are usually unavailable. Given how imperfectly lifetime smoking exposure is captured, residual confounding by smoking could materially account for an association of this magnitude.
• Unmeasured dimensions of socioeconomic position. Neighbourhood deprivation, food environment, occupational exposure, chronic psychosocial stress, healthcare continuity.
• Reverse causationReverse causation is when the arrow points the other way — the illness caused the exposure rather than the exposure causing the illness. and shared frailty. Systemic illness impairs oral hygiene capacity; declining health precedes both tooth loss and 心臓発作心血管系を対象とした臨床試験において、心筋梗塞、不安定狭心症、心臓死などの臨床的に重要な心血管関連事象を評価項目として使用する。..
• Healthy-user bias. People who attend dental appointments also take medications as prescribed and attend cardiology follow-up.

Janket’s meta-regression estimated that residual confounding inflated the pooled estimate by approximately 12.9%, while use of periodontal proxies deflated it by 29.7% [27]. These are model-dependent estimates from a 2003 analysis, illustrative of direction rather than definitive.

A more revealing observation comes from FINRISK. In a prospective analysis, elevated antibody response to periodontal pathogens predicted incident CVD (reported HR 1.87, 1.13–3.08), but most associations attenuated to non-significance when serum lipids entered the model; only the endotoxin/HDLHDL、すなわち高密度リポタンパク質は、しばしば「善玉コレステロール」と呼ばれる粒子です。組織からコレステロールを回収し、肝臓へ運び戻します。. ratio remained independently predictive [38]. Periodontal inflammatory exposure and lipid biology are statistically entangled to a degree that should caution anyone treating them as separable risk channels.

Honest summary: an effect of this size is within the range that the known confounding structure could plausibly produce. That does not mean it is confounding. It means the observational studies conducted to date cannot distinguish the two possibilities. Better observational work — negative-control outcomes, repeated exposure measurement, quantitative bias analysis, triangulation across designs — could meaningfully strengthen or weaken the inference, but no observational design can settle it on its own.

4. Could periodontal disease actually worsen atherosclerosis?

4.1 The hypothesised pathway

Dental biofilm
↓
Gingivitis  →  [susceptible host + persistent exposure]  →  Periodontitis
↓
Ulcerated periodontal pocket epithelium
↓                    ↓
Transient bacteremia      IL-6Interleukin-6, or IL-6, is a signaling molecule the immune system uses to spread an inflammatory message through the body., TNF-α, CRP
↓                    ↓
Innate immune and endothelial activation
↓
酸化ストレス酸化ストレスとは、有害な活性分子と、それらを中和する身体の能力との間の不均衡です。. · impaired NO · 白血球接着The process by which white blood cells attach to the endothelial surface of blood vessels, a key early step in atherogenesis; nitric oxide and an intact glycocalyx normally suppress this adhesion.
↓
アポリポ蛋白BアポBは、動脈の壁に詰まってプラークを引き起こす可能性のあるコレステロール粒子のすべての外側に存在するタンパク質です。それらの粒子はそれぞれ、正確に1個のアポBを運んでいます。. リポタンパク質リポタンパク質とは、脂肪とコレステロールを血流に乗せて運ぶ小さなカプセルのことです。脂肪は水に溶けないため、移動するにはタンパク質の包みが必要です。. retained in 動脈動脈は、心臓から全身へ血液を送り出す血管です。. wall  →  PLAQUE  →  inflammation, progression
↓
Plaque disruptionThe cracking, rupturing, or surface erosion of an atheromatous plaque that triggers local thrombus formation; in MINOCA, the plaque may be too small to cause ≥50% stenosis, and the resulting clot can dissolve or embolize before angiography, leaving an apparently open vessel. / 血栓症血栓症とは、血管内で血液が固まって血栓ができることです。.
↓
MI · ischaemic stroke · PAD

Human studies support several components of this pathway, though the individual arrows differ considerably in evidentiary strength. The arrow into the plaque box — the quantitative contribution of periodontal inflammation to human atherogenesis relative to apoB retention — is hypothesised, not measured [1]. That is the whole of the disagreement in this field.

4.2 Systemic inflammation

Periodontitis is associated with modest elevations in CRP, IL-6, and TNF-α. The 2026 AHA statement identifies chronic low-grade systemic inflammation, with elevated CRP, IL-6, and TNF-α and reduced anti-inflammatory mediators such as adiponectinアディポネクチンは、インスリン感受性を高め、AMPKの活性化を介して脂肪酸の酸化を促進するアディポカインであり、内臓脂肪が蓄積するにつれて血中濃度が低下するため、低アディポネクチン血症は心代謝リスクの早期指標となります。., as the principal indirect mechanism [1].

The interventional evidence quantifies the magnitude, and three independent syntheses agree closely:

Synthesis	Design	CRP effect
Luthra 2023 [14]	Meta-analysis, 19 RCTs at 6 months (26 trials, n=2,579 total)	−0.69 mg/L (−0.97 to −0.40), I²=66%
BMC Oral Health 2024 [39]	Meta-analysis, 21 RCTs	−0.63 mg/L (−1.02 to −0.24), I²=66%; GRADE 低い certainty
Umbrella review 2025 [40]	Recalculated random-effects across reviews	−0.58 mg/L (−0.91 to −0.25)

Convergence on roughly −0.6 mg/L at six months is one of the more reliable quantitative findings in this field. Two caveats matter more than the point estimate. Reductions were greatest in participants with baseline CRP above 3 mg/L. And in the four trials assessing CRP at twelve months or beyond, no pooled treatment effect could be detected [14] — an absence of demonstrated durability in a very small subset, which is not the same as a demonstrated return to baseline.

Is this enough to matter? Two observations argue for caution. First, a reduction of this size is modest in absolute terms, and the relationship between CRP lowering and event reduction is not straightforward: スタチンスタチンは、肝臓がコレステロールを作るのに使う酵素の働きを遅らせます。肝臓は血液中からより多くのコレステロールを取り除くことでこれに反応し、そこに真の利益があります。. outcome benefit tracks closely with apoB and LDL-C reduction, and the independent contribution of the accompanying anti-inflammatory effect remains contested rather than settled. Second, the effect does not persist beyond six months. Atherogenesis operates over decades. This is an inference rather than a demonstrated result, but a バイオマーカーバイオマーカーとは、健康や病気の状態について教えてくれる、体内で測定可能なもののことであり、例えば、検査値、スキャン画像の結果、血圧の数値などが挙げられます。. change undetectable at twelve months is a poor candidate for a mechanism that must accumulate over forty years.

The Tonetti trial makes the same point from another angle: between-group CRP differences failed to reach significance at both two months (1.4 mg/L; −1.0 to 1.8) and six months (1.4 mg/L; −1.0 to 2.0), even while vascular function clearly improved [12]. Whatever produced the vascular benefit, it was not detectably CRP.

IL-6 findings generally run in the same direction; TNF-α is more variable. The BMC 2024 meta-analysis found moderate-certainty evidence for IL-6 reduction; no statistically significant pooled reduction was detected for IL-1β or TNF-α, with low certainty for those outcomes [39].

4.3 Bacteremia

Transient bacteremia from the oral cavity is real and well documented. It occurs during dental procedures but far more frequently during ordinary activities — chewing, toothbrushing, flossing — because these happen multiple times daily. In periodontitis, the ulcerated pocket epithelium provides a large, chronically inflamed portal of entry.

Forner and colleagues quantified this directly in humans: bacteremia following scaling was significantly more frequent and of greater magnitude in participants with periodontitis than in those with gingivitis or periodontal health, and the magnitude correlated with gingival inflammation, plaque scores, and bleeding on probing [41].

The 2026 AHA statement describes this as the principal direct mechanism: systemic dissemination of oral pathogens including Porphyromonas gingivalis そして Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans, together with virulence factors such as lipopolysaccharide and gingipains, capable of triggering endothelial dysfunction and vascular inflammation [1].

The correct inference is not that brushing is dangerous. It is the reverse: a chronically inflamed, bleeding periodontal surface presents more opportunity for bacterial entry, and maintaining periodontal health reduces that interface. This is also precisely why endocarditis guidance emphasises daily oral health over procedural antibiotics [19].

The counter-argument remains important: transient oral bacteremia occurs in people without periodontitis too — its frequency and magnitude vary by activity and periodontal status — and the great majority of episodes are cleared without consequence.

4.4 Bacteria in atherosclerotic plaque — a genuinely contradictory literature

This is where the field is least honest with itself, and where the two source drafts for this document differed most usefully.

Positive findings. Kozarov and colleagues demonstrated that P. gingivalis そして A. actinomycetemcomitans recovered from a carotid plaque homogenate could invade host cells in vitro, indicating viability, although direct culture failed [22]. Haraszthy and colleagues reported periodontal pathogen identification in atheromatous plaques [23].

Negative findings, from studies designed to find it. Aimetti and colleagues examined subgingival plaque and carotid atheromas from patients with advanced chronic periodontitis. All subgingival samples were positive for at least one target organism, with T. forsythia 69.7%, P. gingivalis 63.6%, T. denticola 54.5%, P. intermedia 45.4%, A. actinomycetemcomitans 33.3%. Bacterial DNA was detected in 31 of 33 endarterectomy specimens. None tested positive for periodontal pathogen DNA [42]. That result is not a failure of sensitivity — the assay found abundant bacterial DNA in the same specimens. It found the wrong bacteria.

Cairo and colleagues ran a controlled design with 26 dentate and 26 edentulous patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy. Subgingival samples from dentate test patients showed T. forsythensis 79%, F. nucleatum 63%, P. intermedia 53%, P. gingivalis 37%. No periodontal bacterial DNA was detected in any carotid sample in either group [43].

Fiehn and colleagues set out specifically to determine whether viable oral bacteria could be recovered from atherosclerotic 病変循環器学において、病変とは冠動脈を狭窄させるアテローム性動脈硬化プラークの不連続な領域を指し、通常はそれが引き起こす内腔閉塞のパーセンテージによって記述される。この記事では、最も重要な病変が治療された後、血管径が小さすぎてステントを受け入れることができない4つの遺残病変について述べている。.. Culture for the target periodontal organisms was negative, while bacterial DNA was detectable by PCR in the specimens tested [44]. Detection and viability are not the same finding, and this study separates them directly.

Why this does not establish causation. Five reasons, each independently sufficient:

1. The literature contradicts itself, and the negative studies are not obviously weaker than the positive ones.
2. Detection is not attribution. Bacterial DNA in plaque establishes presence, not aetiological role.
3. Reverse colonisation. One alternative interpretation is that detection reflects secondary deposition or colonisation of pre-existing diseased tissue rather than initiation of atherosclerosis: inflamed, neovascularised plaque with disrupted 内皮内皮は、すべての血管の内側にある極めて薄く滑らかな裏地であり、厚さはわずか1細胞分です。. is a favourable niche.
4. Non-specificity and contamination. Bacterial signatures recovered from vascular specimens are not specific to oral organisms, and low-biomass sequencing is critically vulnerable to reagent and laboratory contamination [61]. Contamination controls in this literature vary, and older studies generally predate the methods now considered standard.
5. その Chlamydia pneumoniae C. pneumoniae was found in plaque, showed strong seroepidemiological associations, worked in animal models, and generated an entire research programme. Large randomised antibiotic programmes in cardiovascular patients then failed to demonstrate cardiovascular benefit. It is an instructive precedent demonstrating that microbial detection, observational association, and mechanistic plausibility together do not guarantee that targeting the organism yields cardiovascular benefit.

Finding P. gingivalis DNA in an atheroma proves exposure at most. It does not establish colonisation, viability, biological activity, direction of travel, or causal acceleration of atherosclerosis.

4.5 Endothelial dysfunction and vascular structure

Tonetti et al., NEJM 2007 randomised 120 patients with severe periodontitis to intensive periodontal treatment or community-based care [12]. The findings were biphasic and instructive:

• At 24 hours, flow-mediated dilatation was 下げる in the intensive group (absolute difference 1.4%; 0.5–2.3; P=0.002), with higher CRP, IL-6, soluble E-selectin, and von Willebrand factor. Intensive periodontal treatment causes an acute systemic inflammatory insult and acute endothelial impairment.
• At 60 days, FMD was greater in the intensive group (0.9%; 0.1–1.7; P=0.02).
• At 180 days, the difference was 2.0% (1.2–2.8; P<0.001), correlating with periodontal improvement (r=0.29, P=0.003).

Czesnikiewicz-Guzik et al., EHJ 2019 found FMD improved by approximately 1.7 percentage points at two months in hypertensive patients [11].

Kapellas et al., Hypertension 2014 randomised 273 Aboriginal Australians with periodontitis to full-mouth scaling in a single visit versus no treatment, with 12-month carotid 中内膜厚Intima-media thickness, or IMT, is a measurement of how thick the inner layers of an artery have become, usually taken in the neck with ultrasound. and 3- and 12-month 脈波伝播速度Pulse wave velocity measures how fast the pressure wave from each heartbeat travels along your arteries. Stiffer arteries carry it faster. as prespecified primary endpoints [45]. At 12 months, cIMT fell by −0.023 mm (−0.038 to −0.008) in the treatment arm and rose by +0.002 mm (−0.017 to +0.022) in controls; the reported between-group difference was −0.026 mm (−0.048 to −0.003; P=0.03). Pulse wave velocity did not differ. Attrition was substantial — endpoints could be calculated for 169 participants at 3 months and 168 at 12 months out of 273 randomised, i.e. roughly 38% loss.

Orlandi et al., EHJ 2025 randomised 135 participants with periodontitis and no major systemic comorbidity (68 intensive, 67 control) to intensive versus control periodontal treatment, with cIMT at 24 months as the primary outcome [13]. cIMT was lower in the intensive group by 0.023 mm at 24 months (P<0.0001). The between-group difference in change from baseline at 24 months was −0.022 mm (95% CI −0.027 to −0.018), and a post hoc analysis stratifying by median baseline cIMT found a consistent −0.02 mm (−0.03 to −0.02; P<0.0001) in both strata. The between-group FMD difference at 24 months was 2.66 percentage points (2.24–3.09). FMD improved within two months and remained higher throughout. Glycoprotein acetyls, an integrated inflammation marker, were reduced. No between-group differences in 血圧血圧とは、血液が動脈の壁を押す力ののことです。120/80のように2つの数字で表されます。上の数字は心臓が収縮するときの圧力で、下の数字は弛緩するときの圧力です。., pulse wave velocity, anthropometrics, or metabolomic markers.

The convergence is the interesting part. Two independent randomised trials, eleven years apart, in radically different populations (remote Indigenous Australians with high comorbidity burden; healthy urban Londoners), using different treatment protocols and follow-up durations, produced effects of the same order: −0.026 mm at 12 months and approximately −0.02 mm at 24 months. That is either a real and reproducible effect or a coincidence of two small trials. It deserves to be taken seriously.

It also deserves proportionate interpretation. The absolute difference is 23 micrometres. cIMT is an imperfect surrogate with a mixed record in drug development, and cIMT regression has not consistently predicted event reduction. Both trials were open-label with substantial or moderate attrition.

Pooled FMD evidence is weaker than individual trials suggest. The BMC Oral Health 2024 meta-analysis of 21 RCTs found the pooled FMD treatment effect 統計的に有意ではない: 1.70% (−1.63 to 5.03, P=0.32, I²=53%), graded low certainty [39]. Lyu’s 14-trial meta-analysis (491 participants) found a strong short-term effect (≤3 months, WMD −3.78, 95% CI −5.49 to −2.07, P<0.0001, in the authors’ sign convention) but a non-significant six-month estimate (WMD −0.96, −2.06 to 0.14, P=0.09) [30]. Orlandi’s individual trial sustained an FMD difference to 24 months [13].

These are reconcilable rather than contradictory, and the reconciliation is informative: the acute-to-subacute FMD response to periodontal therapy is well established; its persistence is not. Individual well-conducted trials with sustained periodontal maintenance show durable improvement; pooled estimates across a heterogeneous literature, in which maintenance and control-arm handling vary widely, do not.

4.6 Immune mechanisms

Several pathways are biologically coherent and partly demonstrated:

• Molecular mimicry. Antibodies against bacterial heat shock タンパク質タンパク質は、体内の筋肉や組織の構築と修復に使用される栄養素です。. 60 cross-react with human HSP60 on stressed endothelium. Identified as a plausible mechanism in the 2026 AHA statement [1].
• Innate immune activation. LPS from Gram-negative periodontal pathogens signals through TLR4 on 内皮細胞すべての血管の内面を覆う薄い細胞層であり、血管緊張の調節、血液凝固の防止、および動脈壁への物質の通過の制御を行います。また、その機能障害はアテローム性動脈硬化における初期の極めて重要な段階です。. and monocytes.
• Monocyte and マクロファージマクロファージは、ゴミや侵入者を飲み込む大きなどん欲な免疫細胞です。その名前は文字通り「大食い」を意味します。" activation, including trained immunity and monocyte priming.
• T cell phenotypes. Reductions in activated CD38+ and immunosenescent CD57+CD28null CD8+ subsets after periodontal therapy [11] — though the investigators themselves noted the changes were modest and did not establish a causal role.
• P. gingivalis proteases degrade complement components and modulate host signalling.

Animal models are frequently deployed as though they settle the question. They do not. P. gingivalis oral inoculation accelerates aortic lesions in hyperlipidaemic ApoE-null mice — a genetically hyperlipidaemic animal, a supraphysiological inoculum, an artificial exposure route, and a lesion morphology that differs from human plaque. This establishes that the pathway is possible. It says nothing quantitative about whether it operates materially in humans.

5. The Mendelian randomisation evidence

This section is separated out because it is decisive, because it is routinely omitted from reviews in this area, and because its omission is the single largest driver of the difference between confident and cautious readings of this literature.

Mendelian randomisation exploits the random assortment of alleles at conception. Genetic variants associated with an exposure are not sorted by income, smoking, diet, or healthcare access — the confounders that dominate the observational periodontal literature. If periodontitis causes ASCVD, genetic liability to periodontitis should associate with ASCVD.

Bell and colleagues conducted a two-sample MR analysis [10]:

• Instruments: five SNPs previously associated with periodontitis in GWAS.
• Outcomes: MEGASTROKE plus de novo UKバイオバンクUK Biobank holds detailed genetic, lifestyle, and health data on half a million British volunteers, linked to their medical records. analysis for stroke and subtypes (up to 44,221 cases, 739,957 controls); CARDIoGRAMplusC4D plus UK Biobank for coronary artery disease (122,733 cases, 424,528 controls); UK Biobank carotid IMT (n=22,179).
• Results: any stroke OR 99 (0.97–1.02); ischaemic stroke OR 1.00 (0.97–1.03); major stroke subtypes all P>0.4; coronary artery disease OR 1.01 (0.99–1.03); carotid IMT β −0.002 (−0.004 to 0.001).
• Weighted median and MR-Egger sensitivity analyses were concordant.
• The authors concluded that the results do not support treatment of periodontitis to reduce atherosclerotic disease.

Limitations that cut the other way

MR is not infallible here, and an honest reading must state the counter-arguments:

• Weak instruments. The available periodontitis GWAS loci individually explain little phenotypic variance. Weak instruments bias toward the null and widen effective uncertainty beyond the nominal confidence intervals.
• Phenotypic heterogeneity. Periodontitis is environmentally dominated. Genetic liability may capture only a narrow slice of the clinically relevant exposure.
• Lifetime liability versus manifest severe disease. MR estimates the effect of genetic predisposition, not of established stage III–IV periodontitis with a large ulcerated pocket surface.
• The method is not uniformly null in this domain. A separate MR analysis using four periodontitis-linked loci (SIGLEC5, DEFA1A3, MTND1P5, LOC107984137) against ~750,000 UK Biobank and ICBP participants found nominally significant causal associations with 収縮期血圧Systolic blood pressure is the top number — the pressure in your arteries while your heart is squeezing. and pulse pressure [11]. If the instruments were purely uninformative, that signal should not appear either.

How much weight should it carry?

The wider MR literature is not uniformly null

Bell is the largest and best-powered broad-outcome analysis, but it is not the only one, and treating it as the whole of the genetic evidence would be a second kind of overstatement.

• Czesnikiewicz-Guzik 2019 used four periodontitis-linked loci against roughly 750,000 UK Biobank and ICBP participants and found nominally significant causal associations with systolic blood pressure and pulse pressure [11].
• Ma 2023 analysed chronic and aggressive periodontitis against ischaemic stroke and its subtypes using MEGASTROKE data, and reported a causal inference for chronic periodontitis on the cardioembolic subtype specifically, while finding no evidence for aggressive periodontitis or for ischaemic stroke overall [52].

Subtype-specific signals of this kind are common in MR and are frequently not robust: they arise from smaller case counts, they multiply the number of tests performed, and they often fail to replicate across estimators. None of them has been replicated at the scale of the Bell null. But their existence means the accurate summary is “MR is predominantly null for broad ASCVD outcomes, with weaker subtype- and blood-pressure-specific signals that are not consistently robust” — not “genetics says no.”

How much weight should it carry, honestly

An MR with very large outcome datasets returning point estimates of 1.01 and 0.99 with tight intervals is a substantive negative finding for a large, broad causal effect. The precision comes from the outcome side; causal power was constrained by having only five periodontal instruments, which is why small effects remain hard to exclude. It should reduce confidence in the causal hypothesis.

But MR is one causal-inference design among several, not the arbiter. Weak instruments limit how confidently small effects can be excluded, and the non-null subtype findings mean the genetic arm of the evidence is best described as unsupportive rather than refutatory. The reasonable position: MR does not refute a causal contribution; it removes the strongest argument that observational 流行病学Epidemiology is the study of health patterns in large groups of people — who gets sick, where, and what they had in common. alone could ever have provided for one.

6. Placing periodontitis within the apoB framework

The causal core of atherosclerosis

Atherosclerosis is initiated and driven by the retention of アポリポ蛋白アポリポ蛋白とは、血液中の脂肪を運ぶ粒子に結合しているタンパク質です。脂肪と水は混ざらないため、これらのタンパク質は脂肪が血流の中を安全に移動できるようにする包みのような役割を果たします。. B-containing lipoproteins within the arterial 内膜内膜は動脈壁の一番内側の層であり、平滑な内壁のすぐ下に位置しています。.. Each 動脈硬化惹起性粒子動脈硬化惹起性粒子とは、LDL、IDL、VLDL、リポ蛋白(a)といったアポB含有リポ蛋白のことであり、動脈壁に侵入・停滞してプラークの成長を開始・持続させます。本論文では、プラークの退縮を達成するために大幅かつ持続的に低下させなければならない対象を指す言葉としてこの用語を使用しています。. — LDL, VLDLVLDL（超低密度リポ蛋白）は、肝臓が中性脂肪を体内の他の部位へと送り出すために作り出す粒子です。. 残骸, IDLIDL（中等密度リポ蛋白）は、トリセリドを多く運ぶ大型の粒子が収縮してLDL粒子へと変化する過程の中間で形成される粒子です。., Lp(a) — carries exactly one apoB molecule (apoB100 in the hepatic particles that dominate human atherogenesis; apoB48 marks intestinally derived カイロミクロンカイロミクロンは、食事由来の脂肪を小腸から血流へと運ぶ非常に大きな粒子です。. remnants), making apoB a direct count of atherogenic particles. The causal evidence is as strong as anything in medicine: consistent observational epidemiology, Mendelian randomisation across dozens of independent lipid-lowering loci with effects proportional to magnitude and duration of exposure, and randomised outcome trials across mechanistically distinct drug classes — statins, エゼチミブEzetimibe is a pill that blocks your intestines from absorbing cholesterol., PCSK9阻害薬A PCSK9 inhibitor is a medicine that blocks that cholesterol-destroying protein, leaving more docking ports available to clear particles from the blood., ベムペド酸Bempedoic acid is a cholesterol-lowering pill that works in the liver, at a point just before where statins act. — delivering event reduction proportional to absolute apoB or LDL-C reduction. Current guidance treats LDL and other apoB-containing lipoproteins as direct causes of ASCVD and makes lipoprotein lowering a central prevention target; the 2026 ACC/AHA multisociety dyslipidemia guidelineA joint clinical practice guideline from the American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology that, among other recommendations, tabulates estimated ASCVD relative-risk increments at Lp(a) concentrations from 50 to 180 mg/dL, derived from UK Biobank modeling. sets present-day US treatment priorities [62], with European guidance in [46].

Inflammation is a genuine modifier of this process. カントスCANTOS (Canakinumab Anti-inflammatory Thrombosis Outcomes Study) was a large randomized trial that tested canakinumab, a drug blocking the inflammatory signal IL-1β, against placebo; at its prespecified 150 mg dose it reduced major cardiovascular events by roughly 15% without lowering LDL cholesterol, providing direct human evidence that inflammation drives heart attacks through a pathway indepen… demonstrated that IL-1β inhibition reduces cardiovascular events without altering lipids, establishing that 残存炎症リスクResidual inflammatory risk refers to the persistent elevation of cardiovascular event rates in patients who have already achieved guideline-recommended LDL-C targets but continue to have elevated inflammatory markers such as hsCRP; it represents a second, parallel pathway of atherogenesis that lipid-lowering alone does not address. is real and modifiable. But the ordering matters: retention of apoB-containing lipoproteins in the arterial wall is the necessary central process in conventional human atherogenesis, while inflammatory pathways modify lesion initiation, progression, and complication.

Which of the four framings applies?

(1) An independent causal risk factor. Not supported by the available evidence. The principal evidence against is the null MR result (Section 5). Established causal risk factors — LDL-C, Lp(a), blood pressure — generally show clear MR signals; periodontitis does not. This comparison should be read with the caveat developed in Section 5: MR signal strength depends on instrument quality, and the periodontitis instruments are weak. MR is a causal-inference tool, not a binary causal detector.

(2) A risk modifier amplifying apoB-driven disease. Plausible and not excluded. This is the framing most consistent with the totality of the evidence: periodontitis contributes to a chronic inflammatory milieu that could accelerate an apoB-initiated process without being able to initiate it. Two independent cIMT trials, the SCAPIS epicardial adipose findings, and the durable FMD effects in Orlandi all fit this model. The effect size, if real, is likely small.

(3) Primarily a marker of other risk factors. Strongly supported by the confounding structure, by the null MR, by the publication bias in the observational literature, and by the striking finding that self-reported and clinically diagnosed periodontal disease produce identical effect estimates.

(4) Some combination. This is the most defensible reading. Current evidence is most consistent with periodontitis being a marker of shared cardiovascular risk and possibly a modest risk modifier in severe disease; the relative contribution of these two explanations has not been measured, and framings that assign proportions to them go beyond the data. What the evidence does not support is periodontitis as an independent causal factor of consequential magnitude.

The FINRISK observation — that periodontal-pathogen associations with CVD largely dissolved on lipid adjustment [38] — is a warning against treating periodontal inflammation as a competing explanation for lipid-mediated atherosclerosis.

Magnitude comparison

Risk factor	Approximate effect on ASCVD risk	Evidence grade
ApoB / LDL-C (lifetime exposure)	Several-fold across the exposure range; ~20–25% relative risk reduction per 1 mmol/L LDL-C lowering over ~5 years	RCT + MR, causal
Current smoking	~2–3×	Cohort + cessation trials, causal
高血圧	~25–30% event reduction per 10 mmHg SBP	RCT, causal
糖尿病	~2×	Cohort + MR, causal
Age	Dominant single determinant	Universal
Periodontitis	~1.14–1.26 relative risk	Cohort only (high bias, publication bias); MR null; one inconclusive event RCT

The metrics in this table are not measured on a common scale — lifetime exposure ratios, trial-derived relative risk reductions, and observational disease associations are not directly comparable, and the table is illustrative rather than a ranking. What it does show is that the observed periodontal association is substantially smaller than those of the established major risk factors, and that its causal standing is considerably less secure.

What follows for practice

Periodontal treatment is not a substitute for 脂質低下脂質低下とは、食事、薬、あるいはその両方によって、血中のアポBを運ぶ有害な粒子を減らすことを意味します。., blood pressure control, smoking cessation, glycaemic management, or physical activity. Improving periodontal health should not be treated as a substitute for managing a substantially elevated atherogenic lipoprotein burden.

7. Does treating periodontal disease improve cardiovascular biology?

Yes, for several intermediate measures — with more disagreement between syntheses than is usually acknowledged.

成果	Best evidence	Effect	Comment
CRP	Three independent meta-analyses [14,39,40]	−0.58 to −0.69 mg/L at 6 months	No effect at ≥12 months [14]. GRADE certainty low to moderate
IL-6	Meta-analysis, 21 RCTs [39]	Significant reduction, moderate certainty	Most robust cytokine finding
IL-1β, TNF-α	Meta-analysis, 21 RCTs [39]	No significant pooled reduction; low certainty	Absence of a detected effect, not evidence of no effect
Flow-mediated dilatation	RCTs [12,13]; meta-analyses [30,39]	+2.0% at 180 days [12]; sustained to 24 months [13]; Lyu short-term significant, six-month WMD −0.96 (−2.06 to 0.14), NS [30]; pooled 1.70% (−1.63 to 5.03), NS [39]	Acute-to-subacute effect established; persistence not
血圧	Gandhi 2026 meta, 12 RCTs [54]; also [11,39,47,13]	SBP −4.64 mmHg (−5.99 to −3.30); DBP −1.84 (−2.65 to −1.02) [54]. Earlier: −11.1 mmHg [11]; pooled −7.85 (−12.77 to −2.94) [39]; pooled −4.3 (−9.10 to 0.48) NS [47]; null [13]	Probable modest reduction, moderate-to-low certainty; magnitude uncertain
Glycaemic control	Cochrane	Moderate-certainty HbA1c improvement in diabetes	Best-supported systemic effect
Lipids	Meta-analysis [39]; umbrella [40]	No effect on LDL, HDL, TC, TG (moderate certainty) [39]; LDL −0.10 mmol/L, HDL +0.03 [40]	Clinically trivial; not a lipid therapy
動脈硬化Arterial stiffness is a measure of how much an artery's wall resists expansion with each pulse of blood; it increases with age as elastin is lost and collagen accumulates, and manifests clinically as a rising systolic blood pressure alongside a falling or stable diastolic blood pressure after about age 60. (PWV)	RCTs [13,45]	No difference in either trial	Consistently null
Carotid IMT	Two RCTs [45,13]	−0.026 mm at 12 months; −0.023 mm at 24 months	Reproducible across independent trials
Aortic vascular inflammation (FDG-PET)	RCT in PAD, n=90 [48]	No effect, P=0.75	Important negative mechanistic trial
Cardiovascular events	PREMIERS [15]; Cochrane [16]	HR 0.65 (0.30–1.38), NS	See Section 8

Blood pressure: the picture changed in 2026

Gandhi and colleagues pooled 12 randomised trials and found periodontal therapy reduced systolic blood pressure by 4.64 mmHg (95% CI −5.99 to −3.30) そして diastolic by 1.84 mmHg (−2.65 to −1.02), with CRP −0.58 mg/L (−0.83 to −0.33) [54]. The authors graded certainty as moderate to low and called for trials powered specifically for blood-pressure endpoints.

This is the best available pooled randomised estimate and it changes the assessment: the BP evidence is better described as a probable modest reduction of uncertain magnitude than as unresolved. It remains a surrogate. Nothing about it speaks to events.

The individual trial estimates still deserve scrutiny

The 11.1 mmHg ambulatory systolic difference reported by Czesnikiewicz-Guzik and colleagues [11] is, on its face, larger than most single 降圧薬An antihypertensive is any drug used to lower high blood pressure. The article distinguishes antihypertensives — which became widely used from the 1970s onward — from statins, noting that blood-pressure drugs contributed to coronary mortality decline well before statin therapy was available. agents. Caveats:

• 101 patients, single centre, two-month follow-up.
• The between-group difference arose partly from a 上昇する in the control arm, which the investigators could not fully explain.
• The intensive arm had numerically higher baseline 24h BP, creating regression-to-the-mean potential.
• The authors framed the study as proof of concept requiring confirmation.
• Orlandi 2025, with 24-month follow-up, found いいえ between-group blood pressure difference [13].
• Pooled RCT estimates conflict: −7.85 mmHg and significant in one meta-analysis [39]; −4.3 mmHg and non-significant in another [47]. Diastolic pressure was non-significant in both.

Muñoz Aguilera and colleagues found periodontitis associated with hypertension (moderate–severe OR 1.22, 1.10–1.35; severe OR 1.49, 1.09–2.05) and with higher mean blood pressure in cross-sectional comparison (SBP +4.49 mmHg, 2.88–6.11; DBP +2.03 mmHg, 1.25–2.81), with I² of 96–98% [29]. Those two figures describe people with versus without periodontitis in observational data. They are not a treatment effect, and they are easily and frequently mistaken for one.

Surrogate outcomes: the standing caution

Every entry in the table above except the last row is a surrogate. Cardiology’s history with surrogates is poor: CAST (suppressed ventricular ectopy, excess mortality), torcetrapib (raised HDL-C, excess mortality), ナイアシンナイアシンはビタミンB3であり、非常におおむね高用量ではLDLを低下させ、HDLを上昇させます。. (favourable lipid panel, no benefit), hormone therapy (favourable lipid panel, excess events), and the anti-Chlamydia antibiotic trials (strong mechanistic case, complete null). A surrogate is a hypothesis about a mechanism, not evidence about an outcome.

The negative FDG-PET trial [48] is worth dwelling on for exactly this reason. Ninety patients with advanced PAD and severe periodontitis were randomised to periodontal therapy plus antibiotics, periodontal therapy alone, or no treatment. Periodontal status improved markedly. Aortic vascular inflammation on ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT — arguably a もっと direct measure of the hypothesised mechanism than CRP or cIMT — did not change (target-to-background ratios approximately 1.00, 1.00, and 1.1; P=0.75). Carotid and lower-extremity uptake and systemic biomarkers were likewise unmoved.

8. Does periodontal treatment prevent heart attacks or strokes?

One randomised trial has tested this with clinical endpoints. It did not demonstrate benefit, and it was not large enough to exclude one.

PREMIERS

PREMIERS (Periodontal Treatment to Eliminate Minority Inequality and Rural disparities in Stroke) was a multicentre, open-label, masked-endpoint, adaptive-randomisation phase II trial [15]:

• Population: patients with recent ischaemic stroke or high-risk TIA and moderately severe periodontal disease, enrolled within 90 days of the index event. Eligibility required ≥5 natural teeth, ≥2 interproximal sites with ≥4 mm clinical attachment loss, and ≥2 sites with ≥5 mm probing depth.
• Screening and randomisation: 1,209 stroke/TIA patients screened; 481 met periodontal eligibility; 280 randomised, 140 intensive and 140 standard.
• Primary outcome: composite of death, myocardial infarction, and recurrent stroke at 12 months.
• Result: 11 events (8%) intensive versus 17 (12%) standard. HR 0.65 (95% CI 0.30–1.38). Prespecified conclusion: intensive treatment was non-superior.
• Safety: sepsis 2.1% versus 0.7%; dental bleeding 1.4% versus 0%; infective endocarditisA serious bacterial infection of the heart's inner lining or valves, distinct from atherosclerosis, in which oral bacteria that enter the bloodstream can colonize a damaged or prosthetic valve and cause life-threatening valve destruction. 0.7% versus 0%.

How to read this. A confidence interval from 0.30 to 1.38 is compatible with a 70% risk reduction, no effect, and a 38% increase in risk. The point estimate is encouraging and the trial is the best clinical-endpoint evidence in existence, which says more about the state of the field than about periodontal therapy. A 28-event trial cannot resolve a hypothesised effect of this size; several hundred events would be needed.

The adverse-event profile is worth noting rather than dismissing. One case of infective endocarditis occurred in the intensive arm and none in the standard arm (0.7% versus 0%). A single event cannot establish that treatment caused it or that the procedure carries excess risk, but it is a reminder that intensive periodontal instrumentation is not risk-free — consistent with the acute inflammatory and endothelial insult documented at 24 hours by Tonetti [12].

The Cochrane position

Cochrane has maintained this review since 2014, with updates in 2017, 2019, and 2022. The 2022 update searched to March 2022 — before PREMIERS published — and identified only two eligible trials [16].

のために 二次予防二次予防とは、すでに心臓発作、脳卒中、またはステント治療を経験した患者に対して、次の発作を防ぐために治療を行うことです。., the sole trial was the PAVE pilot, which randomised 303 participants with established cardiovascular disease — 151 to protocol periodontal therapy and 152 to community care. Events were measured over 6 to 25 months, and only 37 participants had at least one year of follow-up. Cochrane judged the data insufficiently robust for inclusion; all-cause and cardiovascular death were not assessed. High risk of bias with severe attrition. A separate limitation of PAVE deserves emphasis: by six months, 48% of community-care participants had received some preventive or periodontal treatment outside the protocol, contaminating the comparison and biasing toward the null [49].

のために 一次予防一次予防とは、これまでに心臓発作や脳卒中を起こしたことのない人に対して治療を行い、最初の発作を防ぐことです。., the single trial (Lopez 2012) enrolled participants with periodontitis and メタボリックシンドロームMetabolic syndrome is a cluster of five problems that tend to travel together: a large waist, high triglycerides, low HDL, high blood pressure, and high blood sugar. Having three or more counts., comparing scaling and root planing plus antibiotics against supragingival scaling. Very low-certainty, inconclusive.

Cochrane’s conclusion: no reliable evidence regarding secondary prevention; very low-certainty inconclusive evidence for primary prevention; further trials needed.

PREMIERS does not overturn this. It adds one underpowered trial in a specific post-stroke population. A future Cochrane update including it will almost certainly reach the same conclusion with slightly narrower uncertainty.

A note on how to count these trials. Three randomised studies have collected cardiovascular events in this literature — PAVE, Lopez 2012, and PREMIERS — and the 2026 AHA statement discusses all three [1]. It is therefore wrong to say the trial has never been attempted. PREMIERS is the only one of the three with a prespecified, adjudicated cardiovascular composite that produced analysable outcome data; PAVE’s was compromised by attrition and control-arm contamination, and Lopez was a primary-prevention trial graded very low certainty. The accurate statement is that no adequately powered cardiovascular-outcome trial has demonstrated benefit — not that none has been attempted.

The AHA position

The 2026 American Heart Association scientific statement, updating the 2012 statement, concluded that despite growing evidence, causality has not been established, and that well-designed longitudinal studies and randomised controlled trials are needed to determine whether periodontal treatment can improve ASCVD outcomes [1]. The AHA’s own summary states plainly that there is no direct evidence of causality or that periodontal therapy will help prevent cardiovascular disease.

The 2012 statement’s language remains accurate: observational studies support an association independent of known confounders but do not support a causative relationship, and although periodontal interventions reduce systemic inflammation and endothelial dysfunction in short-term studies, there is no evidence that they prevent ASCVD or modify its outcomes [2].

The EFP/World Heart Federation consensus [3] and the EFP/WONCA Europe consensus [4] are somewhat more receptive to a contributory biological role and recommend that patients with periodontitis be informed of elevated cardiovascular risk, while likewise acknowledging the gap between mechanistic evidence and outcome trials.

The required statement

Periodontal disease is associated with cardiovascular disease, and treating periodontitis improves periodontal health and several inflammatory, endothelial, and structural vascular surrogates. The single randomised trial with clinical endpoints was directionally favourable but statistically inconclusive. This does not establish that periodontal treatment prevents 心臓発作心臓発作は、心筋の一部への血流が遮断され、その筋肉が壊死し始めることで起こります。., strokes, or cardiovascular death.

What trial would be required?

• Population: Adults with stage III–IV periodontitis and elevated ASCVD risk. A secondary-prevention population maximises event rate and shortens the trial, at some cost to generalisability.
• 介入 Protocolised step 1–3 periodontal therapy with structured maintenance, targeting and verifying a defined periodontal endpoint (e.g. no pockets ≥5 mm with bleeding), with documented separation between arms maintained across follow-up.
• Comparator: Not “no treatment” — unethical given proven oral-health benefit. Realistically delayed or minimal therapy, which attenuates the contrast and inflates required sample size. PAVE’s contamination problem must be actively managed, not merely reported.
• Primary endpoint: Blinded adjudicated MACE — cardiovascular death, non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke.
• Sample size: With a control event rate of roughly 3% per year and a hypothesised 15% relative risk reduction, approximately 800–1,000 events are required, implying on the order of 10,000–15,000 participants over 4–5 years. PREMIERS accrued 28 events. (Order-of-magnitude estimate, not a published power analysis.)
• Duration: Minimum 4–5 years, with the caveat that if the mechanism operates over decades, even 5 years may be too short.
• Prespecified secondaries: cIMT, FMD, inflammatory biomarkers, microbiology, and — critically — apoB, blood pressure, HbA1c, smoking status, and medication 固守服薬遵守とは、処方されたとおりに日々、実際に薬を服用することを意味します。., so that changes in established risk factors cannot masquerade as a periodontal treatment effect.

Feasibility problems: participant and operator blinding is impossible; adherence to periodontal maintenance decays; ethical constraints limit achievable contrast; and funding is difficult, because the intervention is a generic dental procedure without an obvious commercial sponsor.

9. Gingivitis versus periodontitis

The two are not interchangeable and should never be used as synonyms.

Periodontitis carries the association. Every major cohort, case-control study, and consensus statement discussed above concerns periodontitis, usually moderate-to-severe or stage III–IV, defined by attachment loss, pocket depth, or radiographic bone loss.

Gingivitis has thin and weak supporting data. In the 3.78-million-person Korean cohort [18], gingivitis alone in those aged ≥50 was associated with 狭心症狭心症は、心筋に十分な酸素が供給されていないときに起こる胸の不快感です。圧迫感、締めつけ感、絞られるような感じ、または灼熱感と表現され、腕、首、または顎に広がることがあります。. (aHR 1.05, 1.01–1.10), stroke (1.05, 1.01–1.10), and composite CVD (1.05, 1.02–1.09) — three outcomes all at the same trivial magnitude, in one age stratum, from a binary claims-based exposure that could not capture severity. The myocardial infarction association was non-significant except above age 50. Subgroup analyses in that cohort reported stronger associations among smokers; whether never-smokers showed any elevated risk should be read from the primary subgroup table before being asserted. Some cross-sectional work reports associations between gingival inflammation indices and ASCVD, occasionally with large odds ratios; cross-sectional designs cannot establish temporality and are particularly vulnerable to reverse causation and detection bias. These should not be weighted alongside prospective data.

There is also a biological argument, not merely a statistical one. Gingivitis lacks the deep pathological pocket burden characteristic of established periodontitis, which is the hypothesised portal of entry, and Forner’s data show bacteremia after instrumentation is substantially lower in gingivitis than in periodontitis [41]. If the mechanism is bacteremia and sustained inflammatory burden, gingivitis should not produce the effect — and it appears not to.

用量反応

Dose-response is present:

• PAROKRANK stratified by remaining alveolar bone height (healthy ≥80%, mild/moderate 79–66%, severe <66%) and found a graded increase in cardiovascular risk [7,8].
• Larvin found severe periodontal disease (RR 1.25) exceeded overall periodontal disease (RR 1.20) [34].
• SCAPIS found severe periodontitis associated with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis, most evident without concomitant caries [9].
• Tooth count shows graded associations with CHD across multiple cohorts.
• Janket found a stronger association in those aged ≤65 (RR 1.44) than overall (RR 1.19) [27].
• The Korean cohort found gingivitis alone < gingivitis plus tooth loss [18].

Interpretive caution: dose-response is also exactly what confounding by a graded confounder produces. Periodontitis severity correlates with smoking intensity and duration, with duration of poor glycaemic control, and with depth of socioeconomic disadvantage — each with its own 用量反応関係A dose-response relationship describes how the magnitude of a biological effect changes as the amount of an exposure (such as weekly exercise minutes) increases; in this article, resistance training shows a non-linear dose-response for mortality, with benefits plateauing around 120 minutes per week and a J-shaped curve emerging at very high volumes in older women. to ASCVD. Gradient is consistent with causation; it is not diagnostic of it.

10. Infective endocarditis is a different question

This section exists because the two issues are routinely conflated, and conflating them produces bad advice in both directions.

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is a lipid-driven inflammatory arterial wall disease initiated by apoB retention. Bacteria are, at most, a modifying influence — and, as this review argues, probably a minor one.

Infective endocarditis is a genuine bacterial infection of endocardial surfaces, most often a native or prosthetic valve. Viridans group streptococci from the oral cavity are classic causative organisms in a subset of cases; infective endocarditis also has many non-oral bacterial causes, staphylococci prominent among them. Where oral streptococci are the organism, they are the direct and proven cause. The two are etiologically and clinically distinct problems with different causal frameworks and different prevention strategies, and they should not be conflated.

Current guidance

The 2021 AHA scientific statement reviewed evidence since 2007 and concluded no changes to the 2007 recommendations were warranted [19]:

• Antibiotic prophylaxis before dental procedures may prevent an extremely small number of viridans group streptococcal endocarditis cases.
• Prophylaxis is suggested only for the four highest-risk categories: prosthetic cardiac valves or prosthetic material used for valve repair; previous infective endocarditis; specified unrepaired or residually abnormal congenital heart disease; and cardiac transplant recipients with valvulopathy.
• It applies to dental procedures involving manipulation of gingival tissue or the periapical region, or perforation of oral mucosa.
• そうです ではない recommended for ordinary coronary artery disease, prior MI, coronary ステントステントとは、狭くなった動脈の内側で広げて開いた状態を保つ、小さな金属製のメッシュ状のチューブのことです。., hypertension, or the general population.
• Endocarditis is more likely to arise from routine chewing and toothbrushing than from dental procedures.
• Maintaining good oral health and regular dental care are more important for prevention than antibiotic prophylaxis. Regular professional dental follow-up is advised, with frequency set by the patient’s risk category under the applicable guideline rather than a single universal interval.
• Clindamycin was removed as the preferred penicillin-allergy alternative because of its adverse-reaction profile.
• If a patient requiring prophylaxis is already on an antibiotic, an agent from a different class should be selected.
• Shared decision-makingShared decision-making is a clinical approach in which the physician and patient together weigh the available evidence — including imaging results, risk factors, and personal goals — to reach a management plan that reflects both medical best practice and the individual's values; the 2025 AHA/ACC guidelines specifically invoke it for athletes found to have elevated coronary calcium scores. is recommended where clinician and patient disagree.

International guidance differs in emphasis rather than in principle. NICE states that antibiotic prophylaxis against infective endocarditis is not recommended routinely for people undergoing dental procedures [63], while the 2023 ESC guidelines recommend it for patients at highest risk undergoing at-risk dental procedures [64]. Readers outside the United States should follow local guidance.

Routine antibiotic prophylaxis is not appropriate for the general population. It does not prevent atherosclerosis, carries risks of anaphylaxis, C. difficile infection, and resistance selection, and has no rationale outside the defined high-risk cardiac categories.

11. Practical oral health recommendations

Interventions below are graded on two separate axes: evidence for oral health そして evidence for cardiovascular outcomes. These are not the same axis, and conflating them is the central error this article exists to correct.

Core measures

Brushing. Twice daily, two minutes, fluoride toothpaste, soft-bristled brush. For manual brushing, angling the bristles toward the gum margin at roughly 45 degrees with short strokes is the conventional technique; powered brushes have their own manufacturer-specified technique and this rule does not transfer to them. In either case, do not scrub hard — excessive force and traumatic technique contribute to gingival recession and cervical tooth-surface loss without improving plaque removal. Oral health: strong. Cardiovascular outcomes: not established.

Interdental cleaning. Daily. A toothbrush cleans interproximal surfaces incompletely, and those sites are important plaque-retentive locations and common sites of periodontal breakdown. Oral health: low-certainty positive. Cardiovascular outcomes: not established.

Professional examination and cleaning. Risk-based recall rather than a uniform interval. Higher-risk patients (smokers, diabetes, periodontitis history) need more frequent recall; low-risk patients may safely need less. Oral health: standard of care. Cardiovascular outcomes: observational association only.

Recognising bleeding gums. Bleeding on brushing or interdental cleaning is not normal and is not a sign of cleaning too vigorously. It is a sign of gingival inflammation. Transient bleeding on resuming interdental cleaning after a lapse typically settles within one to two weeks of consistent technique. Bleeding that persists or recurs despite effective plaque control, or that occurs spontaneously, warrants dental evaluation (the commonly quoted one-to-two-week settling period is practical guidance rather than a validated threshold) — as do recession, tooth mobility, persistent halitosis, or a change in bite. Anticoagulated patients should not assume bleeding is simply their medication. Smokers should not take absent bleeding as reassurance: tobacco blunts the gingival inflammatory response and can mask substantial disease.

Periodontal evaluation is appropriate for persistent bleeding, visible recession, pockets identified at screening, tooth mobility, unexplained tooth loss, or a diagnosis of diabetes. It is also reasonable before major cardiac surgery, especially valve surgery, on endocarditis grounds.

Smoking cessation. One of the highest-value interventions available for both periodontal and cardiovascular outcomes, and the only item on this list that scores at the top of both axes.

Diabetes control. Bidirectional benefit. Cochrane found moderate-certainty evidence that periodontal therapy lowers HbA1c by approximately 0.43 percentage points at 3–4 months and 0.30 points at 6 months in people with diabetes; glycaemic control in turn improves periodontal outcomes.

Devices and adjuncts

Powered versus manual toothbrushes. Cochrane found moderate-quality evidence that powered brushes reduce plaque more than manual in the short term (SMD −0.50; −0.70 to −0.31) and gingivitis in both the short term (SMD −0.43; −0.60 to −0.25; 44 trials, n=3,345) and long term (SMD −0.21; −0.31 to −0.12) [20]. Rotation-oscillation designs have the largest evidence base. Heterogeneity was high (I² 83–86%) and Cochrane explicitly noted the clinical importance remains unclear. Earlier summaries quantified the rotating-oscillating advantage as roughly 7% for plaque and 17% for gingivitis. Verdict: modestly better; optional, not mandatory. An oral-hygiene benefit, not a cardiovascular one.

Interdental brushes versus floss. The 2019 Cochrane review of 35 RCTs (n=3,929) concluded that floss or interdental brushes added to toothbrushing may reduce gingivitis or plaque more than brushing alone, and that interdental brushes may be more effective than floss [21]. Low-certainty evidence suggested interdental brushes reduce gingivitis more than floss at one and three months, with no difference in probing pocket depth. Flossing added to brushing reduced gingival index at one month (SMD −0.58; −1.12 to −0.04). Cochrane’s caveats matter: most participants had low baseline gingival inflammation, outcomes were short-term, no trial assessed interproximal caries, most did not assess periodontitis, and the observed effect sizes may not be clinically important. Verdict: interdental brushes where the embrasure accommodates them; floss where it does not. The best device is the one the person will actually use correctly.

Water flossers (oral irrigators). Cochrane found low- to very low-certainty and inconsistent evidence [21]. Reasonable for patients with fixed appliances, implants, bridgework, or dexterity limitations. Verdict: not proven superior; reasonable where conventional methods are difficult.

Antiseptic mouthwash and chlorhexidine. Chlorhexidine is effective for short-term plaque and gingivitis control. A systematic review of chlorhexidine mouthrinse in gingivitis patients reported roughly a third less plaque and about a quarter less gingivitis versus control, with significantly increased tooth, tongue, and restoration staining [56]; Cochrane reaches the same qualitative conclusion [50]. In the United States it is prescription therapy. Guidelines support short-term, indication-specific adjunctive use.

There is a specific cardiovascular caveat. The enterosalivary nitrate–nitrite–一酸化窒素一酸化窒素は、血管の内壁が血管に弛緩して広がるよう伝えるために産生するガスです。. pathway depends on nitrate-reducing bacteria on the dorsal tongue. Dietary nitrate is concentrated in saliva, reduced to nitrite by these commensals, and subsequently to nitric oxide — a physiologically meaningful contributor to vascular tone. Antiseptic mouthwash disrupts this:

• In 19 healthy volunteers, one week of twice-daily antibacterial mouthwash reduced oral nitrite production by roughly 90% and plasma nitrite by about 25%, with a blood pressure rise on the order of 2–3.5 mmHg [24].
• In a 15-participant crossover study, three days of twice-daily antibacterial mouthrinse in treated hypertensive adults blunted oral nitrate reduction and raised systolic blood pressure by approximately 2.3 mmHg [25].
• In a longitudinal cohort of overweight adults (540 analysed), twice-daily over-the-counter mouthwash use at baseline was associated with increased incident hypertension risk over three years [26].
• One week of twice-daily chlorhexidine in healthy normotensive oral health professionals was associated with a significant rise in resting systolic blood pressure, with recovery on discontinuation accompanied by re-enrichment of nitrate-reducing tongue bacteria.

These are small studies with short follow-up, one observational cohort, and no hard-outcome data. The direction is consistent and the mechanism is specific, but the evidence does not support a clinical claim of harm. The long-term cardiovascular effects of routine antiseptic mouthwash remain uncertain; chronic use should have a dental indication rather than being assumed either beneficial or inconsequential.

Oral probiotics. A meta-analysis of 24 RCTs found small short-term adjunctive gains — clinical attachment gain of 0.20 mm (95% CI 0.09–0.31) and pocket-depth reduction of 0.31 mm (0.10–0.52) at three months, with no significant advantage at six months [57]. Results are strain- and protocol-specific and remain heterogeneous, and further randomised trials have continued to appear; a blanket dismissal is not warranted. What is warranted: probiotics should not replace mechanical plaque control or professional therapy, durable periodontal benefit is not established, and no randomised evidence demonstrates cardiovascular benefit.

The honest summary of Section 11

Every intervention above with credible supporting evidence has that evidence for oral health outcomes. No dental intervention on this list has demonstrated cardiovascular event reduction. Smoking cessation and evidence-based diabetes management are exceptions only in the sense that they are established cardiovascular interventions in their own right, quite apart from anything they do for the gums. Recommend them for teeth and gums. That is a sufficient reason.

12. Evidence hierarchy applied

Tier	Evidence type	What exists here
1	RCTs with cardiovascular clinical outcomes	One underpowered trial. PREMIERS: HR 0.65 (0.30–1.38), non-superior [15]. PAVE unusable [16,49]
2	RCTs of vascular or inflammatory surrogates	Substantial, mostly positive, internally inconsistent: CRP [14,39,40], FMD [12,13,30 vs 39], cIMT [45,13], BP [11,39 vs 47,13], FDG-PET null [48]
3	Mendelian randomisation	Null for CAD, stroke, carotid IMT [10]; weak unreplicated signals for blood pressure [11] and cardioembolic stroke subtype [52]
4	Prospective cohorts	Large, consistent, positive — but critical risk of bias throughout [7,8,9,16,34,35]
5	Systematic reviews of observational studies	Convergent RR 1.14–1.26 [5,27,34]; I² up to 97%; significant publication bias [34]
6	Mechanistic human studies	Bacteremia demonstrated [41]; plaque bacterial DNA contradictory [22,23 vs 42,43,44]
7	Animal studies	P. gingivalis accelerates lesions in ApoE-null mice
8	Cell and in vitro	Endothelial invasion, TLR signalling, gingipain activity

Two observations about this table.

First, causal triangulation across tiers is discordant rather than convergent. For exposures that turned out to be genuinely causal — LDL-C, blood pressure, smoking — genetic and randomised evidence converged with and reinforced the observational signal. Here the tiers do not agree: the observational signal is positive, the surrogate trials are largely positive but internally inconsistent, the genetic evidence is null (with weak instruments), and clinical-outcome evidence is absent rather than negative. The correct summary is insufficient and discordant triangulation, not a refuted hypothesis.

Second, the field’s most-cited findings sit at tiers 6–8, and the tier-6 evidence is internally contradictory. Animal and in vitro findings are frequently deployed as though they settle the question. They establish that the pathway is possible. They say nothing quantitative about human cardiovascular events.

13. Final evidence table

Claim	Best evidence	Study type	Effect size	自信	Causation established?
Periodontitis is associated with coronary disease	Larvin [34]; Guo [5]; PAROKRANK [7,8]; SCAPIS [9]	Meta-analyses of cohorts	CHD RR 1.14 (1.08–1.21) and 1.20 (1.12–1.29)	Moderate–high for association; downgraded for critical risk of bias and publication bias	いいえ
Periodontitis is associated with myocardial infarction	Larvin [34]; Guo [5]	Meta-analyses	RR 1.12 (0.96–1.30), NS [34]; RR 1.14 (1.06–1.22) [5]	中程度 — syntheses disagree on significance	いいえ
Periodontitis is associated with stroke	Larvin [34]; Guo [5]; ARIC [35]	Meta-analyses + cohort	RR 1.24 (1.12–1.38); 1.26 (1.15–1.37); ARIC subtype HRs ~2.2–2.6	Moderate–high for association	いいえ
Periodontitis is associated with peripheral artery disease	Nationwide matched cohort	Observational	HR ~1.15 (1.07–1.23)	Low–moderate	いいえ
Periodontitis is associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality	Guo [5]; Romandini [37]	Meta-analyses	Cardiac death RR 1.42 (1.10–1.84); all-cause 1.31 (1.07–1.61)	中程度	いいえ
Gingivitis alone is associated with cardiovascular disease	Lee 2024 [18]	Cohort, n=3.78M, median 10.4y	Stroke aHR 1.05 (1.01–1.10), age ≥50 only	低い	いいえ
Genetic liability to periodontitis causes CAD or stroke	Bell 2020 [10]; Ma 2023 [52]; Czesnikiewicz-Guzik 2019 [11]	Two-sample MR	CAD OR 1.01 (0.99–1.03); stroke 0.99 (0.97–1.02); cIMT β −0.002 [10]. Subtype signal for cardioembolic stroke [52] and for BP [11], neither replicated at scale	Moderate evidence against a large broad effect; small effects not excluded	Unsupportive, not refutatory
Periodontitis contributes to transient bacteremia	Forner 2006 [41]	Mechanistic human	Bacteremia frequency and magnitude after scaling significantly greater in periodontitis than gingivitis or health	高	はい, for bacteremia
Periodontal pathogens consistently inhabit atherosclerotic plaque	[22,23] vs [42,43,44]	Mechanistic human	Positive and complete-negative studies coexist; negatives detected abundant non-periodontal bacterial DNA in the same specimens	Low / inconsistent	いいえ
Periodontitis increases systemic inflammatory markers	[1,14,39]	RCT meta-analyses + prospective	Treatment lowers CRP ~0.6 mg/L; IL-6 moderate certainty	中程度	Yes, for the biomarker relationship
Periodontal treatment lowers CRP	[14,39,40]	Three meta-analyses	−0.58 to −0.69 mg/L at 6 months	中程度	Yes at 6 months; null at ≥12 months
Periodontal treatment improves 血管内皮機能血管の内側を覆う内膜が血管の緊張、炎症、血液凝固を調節する能力。健康な内視細胞は一酸化窒素を放出し、動脈をリラックスさせ、プラーク形成に対する抵抗力を保ちます。.	[12,13,30,39]	RCTs + two meta-analyses	+2.0% at 180 days [12]; sustained to 24 months [13]; Lyu six-month WMD −0.96 (−2.06 to 0.14) NS [30]; pooled 1.70% (−1.63 to 5.03) NS [39]	中程度 short-term; 低い for persistence	Short-term surrogate effect yes; durability not established
Periodontal treatment lowers blood pressure	Gandhi 2026 [54]; [11,39,47,13]	RCT meta-analysis + individual RCTs	SBP −4.64 (−5.99 to −3.30); DBP −1.84 (−2.65 to −1.02) [54]; earlier estimates conflicting	Moderate–low (authors’ own grading)	Probable for a modest surrogate BP effect; not an event effect
Periodontal treatment improves lipids	[39,40]	Meta-analyses	No effect (moderate certainty) [39]; LDL −0.10 mmol/L [40]	Moderate evidence of no clinically meaningful effect	いいえ
Periodontal treatment slows carotid IMT progression	Kapellas [45]; Orlandi [13]	Two independent RCTs	−0.026 mm at 12 months; −0.023 mm at 24 months	中程度 — reproducible, small magnitude, open-label, attrition	Suggestive for a vascular surrogate
Periodontal treatment reduces arterial inflammation on PET	PAD RCT, n=90 [48]	Randomised	No aortic effect, P=0.75	中程度	No demonstrated effect
Periodontal treatment prevents myocardial infarction	PREMIERS [15]; Cochrane [16]	Randomised	Composite HR 0.65 (0.30–1.38), NS	Insufficient	いいえ
Periodontal treatment prevents stroke or recurrent stroke	PREMIERS [15]	Randomised phase II	Composite HR 0.65 (0.30–1.38), NS	Insufficient	いいえ
Periodontal treatment reduces cardiovascular mortality	[15,16]	Randomised	No adequately powered result	Insufficient	いいえ
Better oral hygiene reduces cardiovascular events	Park [55]; Liu [17]; Reichert [36]	Observational	Park n=247,696, median 9.5y: each additional daily brushing ~9% lower risk, annual professional cleaning ~14% lower [55]; highest vs lowest brushing RR 0.85 (0.80–0.90) [17]; brushing HR 0.74 in established CVD [36]	低い — healthy-user confounding	いいえ
Periodontal therapy can substitute for lipid, BP, or diabetes management	ESC/EAS [46] vs periodontal RCTs	Guidelines vs trials	Established therapies have event evidence; periodontal therapy does not	High confidence that it cannot	いいえ
Oral bacteria cause infective endocarditis in susceptible patients	AHA 2021 [19]	Established microbiology and guidelines	—	高	はい — different disease

14. Conclusions

Does gum disease cause heart disease?

For gingivitis: not on any convincing evidence. No adequate evidence indicates that uncomplicated, reversible gingivitis independently causes ASCVD. Its cardiovascular associations are weak, restricted, and inconsistent, and the hypothesised mechanism — ulcerated pocket epithelium and sustained bacteremia — is largely absent in gingivitis.

For periodontitis: causality is not established, and the higher-tier evidence is unsupportive rather than confirmatory. Note the precise claim: the evidence does not establish that periodontitis independently causes ASCVD. That is not the same as showing it does not. The association is real, consistent across independent meta-analyses, graded by severity, and mechanistically coherent. Two independent randomised trials show a small, reproducible structural vascular effect. Against this — and “two independent randomised trials reported similarly sized cIMT effects” is the accurate phrasing, not that the effect is established as reproducible — Mendelian randomisation returns null estimates for coronary disease, stroke, and carotid IMT, with only weak and unreplicated subtype signals pointing the other way; the observational literature carries critical risk of bias and demonstrable publication bias; the plaque-microbiology evidence contradicts itself; the inflammatory effect of treatment has not been shown to persist past six months; and the one direct mechanistic imaging trial was null. The 2026 AHA statement concludes causality has not been established [1].

Can periodontal disease make existing coronary disease worse?

Possibly, by a small amount, in severe disease. This is the most defensible version of the hypothesis. Severe periodontitis predicted recurrent events in patients with angiographically documented disease (HR ~1.26, 1.00–1.58) [36], inflammation is an established modifier of risk in patients with existing plaque (CANTOS), and PREMIERS pointed in the right direction. But the magnitude is unquantified, durable CRP benefit has not been demonstrated, and no trial has demonstrated event reduction. Treat this as a reasonable hypothesis, not a finding. The correct clinical label is potential cardiovascular risk modifier, not proven cause of heart attacks.

How strong is the evidence for causality versus association?

Association: strong, with important quality caveats. Causality: not established, and the triangulation across evidence types is mixed rather than consistently confirmatory. The Chlamydia pneumoniae experience is a cautionary precedent: microbial detection, mechanistic plausibility, and consistent observational association did not translate into demonstrated cardiovascular benefit when the organism was targeted in randomised trials.

Does periodontal treatment reduce cardiovascular events?

Not demonstrated. PREMIERS produced HR 0.65 (0.30–1.38) — an interval spanning large benefit, no benefit, and modest harm. Cochrane, across its original review and three updates, found no reliable evidence [16]. Evidence that a treatment lowers CRP, improves FMD, or changes cIMT establishes effects on those variables. It does not establish a reduction in MI, stroke, or death.

What should a person with established coronary artery disease actually do differently?

Very little, and nothing that displaces anything else.

1. Do not change any cardiovascular therapy on the basis of this evidence. ApoB lowering, blood pressure control, smoking cessation, glycaemic management, and exercise remain the interventions with outcome trials behind them. Do not de-escalate anything because oral health improved.
2. Have your periodontal status assessed if it has not been. Periodontitis is common, frequently asymptomatic until advanced, and worth treating for its own sake. Tooth loss impairs oral function.
3. Treat periodontitis if you have it. The justification is oral health and, in people with diabetes, glycaemic control. For patients at endocarditis risk, guidelines emphasise maintaining excellent oral health — which is not the same as evidence that periodontal therapy itself has been shown to prevent endocarditis events. Not atherosclerosis prevention.
4. Know your endocarditis status. Prosthetic valve, previous endocarditis, specified congenital lesions, or transplant with valvulopathy: prophylaxis before invasive dental procedures applies. Otherwise it does not [19].
5. Do not use daily antiseptic mouthwash indefinitely without a dental indication, given the nitrate–nitrite–nitric oxide data [24,25,26].
6. Coordinate timing around cardiac procedures. Intensive periodontal therapy causes a transient acute inflammatory and endothelial insult at 24 hours [12], and PREMIERS recorded one case of infective endocarditis among 140 intensively treated patients [15]. PAVE found no excess cardiovascular events with periodontal therapy in established CVD, and the overall safety record is good — but extensive treatment immediately before valve surgery warrants coordination between dental and cardiac teams rather than independent scheduling.

Evidence gaps

Inconsistent disease definitions across studies; historic cohorts using partial-mouth examination or self-report; highly variable smoking and diabetes adjustment; tooth loss contaminated by caries, trauma, and access; small and short treatment trials; control-arm contamination; surrogate endpoints代替評価項目とは、LDLコレステロール、CIMT、冠動脈カルシウムなどの測定可能な生体マーカーであり、治験において心発作などの臨床的転帰の代用として使用されるものである。代替評価項目における好ましい変化はベネフィットの妥当性を裏付けるものではあるが、それ単体では、ある治療法が心発作や死亡を防ぐことを証明するものではない。. frequently exploratory rather than prespecified; and near-total absence of adequately powered clinical-event data.

Evidence-confidence scores

Proposition A: “Periodontal disease independently contributes to the development or progression of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.”

45 / 100

What this score means. It is a qualitative evidence-confidence judgement — confidence that a clinically meaningful independent causal contribution has been established — not a statistically estimated probability. It should not be read as “there is a 45% chance periodontitis causes heart disease.”

Upward pressure: consistent independent associations converging across three meta-analyses; severity dose-response including radiographically graded exposure; demonstrated bacteremia mechanism with severity gradient; two independent randomised trials converging on the same small cIMT effect eleven years apart in dissimilar populations; internal specificity in SCAPIS; sustained FMD improvement at 24 months.

Downward pressure: null Mendelian randomisation for CAD, stroke, and cIMT with tight intervals; critical risk of bias in 21 of 32 pooled cohorts with significant publication bias; identical effect estimates from self-reported and clinically diagnosed exposure; MI association non-significant in the highest-quality meta-analysis; contradictory plaque microbiology with well-conducted negative studies; non-persistence of the inflammatory effect beyond six months; null aortic FDG-PET trial; and a strong historical base rate of failure for infection-and-atherosclerosis hypotheses.

Why 45. Below 50 because the observational associations remain vulnerable to residual confounding, because the available Mendelian randomisation evidence does not support a causal effect, because the pooled cohort literature carries critical risk of bias and demonstrable publication bias, because the plaque-microbiology evidence contradicts itself, and because no adequately powered randomised clinical-outcome evidence exists. Not lower, because two independent randomised trials reported similarly sized structural vascular effects and the mechanistic chain up to the arterial wall is demonstrated in humans.

What would move it up: stronger-instrument MR finding a positive effect; a periodontal treatment trial showing reduced plaque progression on coronary imaging; demonstration of durable multi-year inflammatory reduction. What would move it down: replication of the null MR with better instruments; failure to replicate the cIMT finding in a blinded-endpoint trial.

Proposition B: “Treating periodontal disease reduces myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular mortality.”

15 / 100

What this score means. It is confidence that the proposition has been established, not the probability that a true benefit of some size exists. Those are different quantities, and the evidence here is best described as insufficient rather than weakly positive.

Reasoning. Three randomised trials collected cardiovascular events; PREMIERS is the only one that produced an analysable prespecified composite, and it is the only meaningful direct test available. Its point estimate favours treatment; its confidence interval excludes nothing of interest.

The score is not zero, because a directionally favourable randomised result — even from 28 events — is not nothing, and because a modest true benefit would be undetectable in a trial that size. It is not higher because the proposition is conditional on Proposition A; because durable inflammatory benefit is unproven; because the surrogates have a documented history of failing to predict outcomes; because the one direct mechanistic imaging trial was null; and, decisively, because 28 events cannot establish anything about clinical efficacy. Given that this score measures whether the proposition is established, PREMIERS moves it very little.

These scores reflect the strength of the evidence, not the appeal of the hypothesis. The biology is interesting. The definitive trial has not been done.

The practical synthesis

Periodontal health belongs in good preventive healthcare, and severe periodontitis is a credible additional inflammatory burden in a patient who already has atherosclerotic disease. As of August 2026, treating gum disease should be recommended to preserve periodontal and general health — not marketed as a proven treatment for preventing heart attacks or strokes.

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